Magic Statistics

“I accept no responsibility for statistics, which are a form of magic beyond my comprehension.” — Robertson Davies

January 25th, 2008 at 7:30 pm

Danny Williams: Not a have-not, but plays one on the national stage

John Gray, writing in today’s Globe and Mail, presents an in-depth and, on the whole, favourable portrait of the flamboyant (some would say loud-mouthed) premier of Newfoundland and Labrador, Danny Williams.  Newfoundlanders love their in-your-face premier, who has made a career of feuding with the federal government.

Newfoundland has struggled economically ever since joining Canada in 1949.  Quebec screwed the province out of billions of dollars from the Churchill Falls power project.  The province’s hopes have been pinned on offshore oil for over 40 years, and now the oil—and the money—have finally started to flow.  But Premier Williams still isn’t satisfied because the federal government’s share of oil revenues is four times that of Newfoundland and Labrador.

The success of the bet on offshore oil is clear enough, but for more than 20 years, Ottawa and St. John's have been at odds over how the revenue should be divided and taxed. Above all, how does oil fit in to the calculation of equalization—the federal program to ensure that all provinces can provide more or less the same level of public services?
. . .
Williams publicly mocked [Prime Minister Stephen] Harper as a man who breaks his promise, a petty man who cannot be trusted, a buddy of the oil companies, a man who "just keeps on changing his colours in order to suit whatever the political need is at the time." Perhaps worst of all, Williams sneeringly referred to Harper as Steve. This is not, first of all, a familarity that Harper encourages. More important, Steve was the name that the maladroit U.S. President George W. Bush once used when the two leaders met in Washington. For Williams, that was a perfect set-up.

Newfoundlanders apparently enjoy watching their premier chew the scenery on the national stage. They gave him 70% of the popular vote in last October’s provincial election.

A rather different take is offered by Edward G. Hollett, who lives and works in St John’s, Newfoundland and Labrador.

Equalization is a top-up scheme.  Provincial governments that don't collect enough revenues from their sources to meet a national average get a transfer from the federal government.  The money doesn't come from other provincial governments.  It comes from federal revenues, from things like personal and corporate incomes taxes. That's your pocket and mine, whether you live in Petawawa or Pasadena.
. . .
[Danny Williams is] basically arguing that every taxpayer everywhere in Canada should funnel cash into the local provincial bank account based not merely on a political promise but because this province deserves it somehow.  Spending more money per person than seven other provinces, Newfoundland and Labrador wants more still. And that's despite reaping huge windfalls from high oil and ore prices.

The debt, you say?  Well,  those same taxpayers  from St. John's to Victoria can also see the same provincial government doing nothing of consequence about its own debt burden.  There may be something coming in the next budget but they likely heard loudly and clearly the recent admission by finance minister Tom Marshall that they'd done very little - some might say nothing  - to reduce the provincial debt load despite running surpluses and still boosting public spending over the past couple of years well beyond the rate of inflation.

I’ve always wondered why Danny Williams feels morally entitled to vast quantities of taxpayer dollars when, thanks to lucrative oil resources, his province is now earning more than the national average.  The equalisation programme may have originally been intended to aid have-not provinces but, clearly, it is now just another trough for powerful pigs politicians.

Here’s what Premier Williams looked like in today’s Halifax Chronicle Herald.

Lock him up, please!

Background: Mr Williams has admitted talking on his cellphone while driving, an offence under Newfoundland law.

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January 25th, 2008 at 5:44 pm

Robbie Burns Day Dog

Robbie Burns was born on this day in 1795 in Alloway, Scotland.  In honour of the occasion, here is today’s dog from my Bad Dog desk calendar.  Bottoms up!

Wilson wants a Scotch

My friend and fellow Yukon blogger Rebecca has posted an appropriate memorial to The Bard, one of his poems.

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January 25th, 2008 at 5:43 pm

Canadian bison thrive under private ownership

Bison were hunted close to extinction as the Western prairies came under cultivation, but now, thanks to the Canadian bison industry, they have made a big comeback.  Statistics Canada today released analysis of the 2006 Census of Agriculture, which found about 2000 Canadian farms raising a total of almost 200,000 head of bison—an increase of over one-third since 2001.  The herd amounted to only some 10,000 head in 1991.

Bison producers are concentrated in the Western provinces—British Columbia, Alberta, Saskatchewan and Manitoba—with less than 5% from Ontario and east. Alberta alone has 49.7% of the herd and 45.8% of the farms. Saskatchewan has the second largest bison herd (29.3%), followed by Manitoba (10.0%) and British Columbia (6.5%).

The Peace River region, in British Columbia and Alberta, is one of the country’s key bison-producing regions, with 14.4% of the country’s herd. The region, north of Grande Prairie in Alberta and encompassing Dawson Creek and Fort St. John in British Columbia, experienced a 59.9% increase in bison since the last Census of Agriculture, climbing from 17,661 in 2001 to 28,232 in 2006. Manitoba’s largest bison population was in the South Interlake area located between the southern part of Lake Winnipeg and the southern part of Lake Manitoba, with over 5,000 head.

The quantity of bison meat exported from Canada doubled between 2001 and 2006.

Commonly called "buffalo", Bison bison is the correct scientific name for the North American species.  (True buffalo are found only in Africa and Asia.)  Estimated to have numbered in the millions during the early 1800s, fewer than 1000 bison were left alive by 1899.

The Statistics Canada report does not focus specifically on the role of private enterprise in the recovery of the bison population, but it seems clear that private ownership has played a crucial role in preserving bison in Canada.

The full report is fascinating and highly recommended.  In addition to the statistics cited above, the study includes biological and historical information on the two species of bison prevalent in North America, a fine map showing the places in Canada where they are raised on farms, and a chart comparing the nutritional value of bison meat with other kinds of meat.  The html version also includes five high-resolution photographs of bison.

Sorry, Alice, the report doesn’t include any other even-toed ungulates.

Sources:

Firmage-O'Brien, Kelly, 2008. "Bison on the comeback trail", Statistics Canada, Canadian Agriculture At A Glance: Livestock.
http://www.statcan.ca/english/freepub/96-325-XIE/2007000/article/10504-en.htm
[html]
http://www.statcan.ca/english/freepub/96-325-XIE/2007000/article/10504-en.pdf [pdf]
(accessed 25 January 2008).

Statistics Canada, 2008. “Study: Canada’s bison industry”. The Daily, 25 January.  Statistics Canada catalogue no. 11-001-XIE.
http://www.statcan.ca/Daily/English/080125/d080125b.htm (accessed 25 January 2008).

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January 25th, 2008 at 6:00 am

The Conversion of St Paul

The collect for today, the Conversion of St Paul, from the 1662 Book of Common Prayer:

O God, who, through the preaching of the blessed Apostle Saint Paul, hast caused the light of the Gospel to shine throughout the world; Grant, we beseech thee, that we, having his wonderful conversion in remembrance, may shew forth our thankfulness unto thee for the same, by following the holy doctrine which he taught; through Jesus Christ our Lord. Amen.

For The Epistle: Acts 9:1-22
The Gospel: St Matthew 19:27-30

Click for larger viewArtwork: Michelangelo, The Conversion of Saul, 1542-45, Fresco, Cappella Paolina, Vatican.

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