Magic Statistics

“I accept no responsibility for statistics, which are a form of magic beyond my comprehension.” — Robertson Davies

November 20th, 2007 at 9:54 pm

Bob Dylan: “When He Returns”

 
“When He Returns” 
The iron hand it ain't no match for the iron rod,
The strongest wall will crumble and fall to a mighty God.
For all those who have eyes and all those who have ears
It is only He who can reduce me to tears.
Don't you cry and don't you die and don't you burn
For like a thief in the night, He'll replace wrong with right
When He returns.

Truth is an arrow and the gate is narrow that it passes through,
He unleashed His power at an unknown hour that no one knew.
How long can I listen to the lies of prejudice?
How long can I stay drunk on fear out in the wilderness?
Can I cast it aside, all this loyalty and this pride?
Will I ever learn that there'll be no peace, that the war won't cease
Until He returns?

Surrender your crown on this blood-stained ground, take off your mask,
He sees your deeds, He knows your needs even before you ask.
How long can you falsify and deny what is real?
How long can you hate yourself for the weakness you conceal?
Of every earthly plan that be known to man, He is unconcerned,
He's got plans of His own to set up His throne
When He returns.

Recorded live at Massey Hall, Toronto, 1980. 

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November 20th, 2007 at 9:38 pm

Transdniester: where the Soviet past lives on

TransdniesterLast week, I blogged on human trafficking in the small impoverished eastern European republic of Moldova.  Transdniester, the tiny portion of Moldova east of the River Dniester, broke away from the rest of the country in 1990 and, although unrecognised by any nation, enjoys de facto independence.

The region may have broken away from Moldova, but it never left the Soviet era.

Wandering around Trans-Dniester is a short-lived blast. There's not a whole lot to see, but what there is seems lifted from a back lot at Pinewood studios, the one where fibreglass statues of Lenin served for Cold War backdrops.

In Trans-Dniester's capital Tiraspol, however the statues are real stone, upright, and unabashedly adorned with the hammer and sickle.

There is a general lack of advertising, flashy electrics and, well, shops. Everything that is sold, seems to be sold only by some arm of the Sheriff group - which is strongly tied to Trans-Dniester's Ming the Merciless lookalike leader Igor Smirnov.

Lenin in Tiraspol, Transdniester

Religious literature and church supplies are routinely confiscated at the border, whether one is entering or leaving the region.

Baptists and other Protestants, as well as Russian Orthodox and Jehovah's Witnesses have complained about continuing problems trying to bring religious literature and objects through checkpoints operated by the breakaway unrecognised entity of Transdniester, in eastern Moldova, Forum 18 News Service has learnt. Religious material is routinely confiscated, while in the most known recent case, a priest of the Russian Orthodox Church had his car impounded for four days after failing to declare church candles. Fr Oleg Cernat was taking the candles from his home in the suburbs of Dubosary, in Transdniester, to the Moldovan capital Chisinau.

When Forum 18 phoned the State Security Ministry to ask about the policy regarding confiscation of religious literature, officials simply hung up.

The parliament of Transdniester is considering an exceedingly restrictive religion law that would prevent legal recognition of any new religious organisations for the next ten years.  Unregistered religious communities may neither produce nor import literature.

Previous related post: Human trafficking in Eastern Europe

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November 20th, 2007 at 8:29 pm

Evolution is deterministic and orderly, not random

That's the conclusion reached by an international team of biologists studying the evolution of a particular organ in several species of roundworms.  The organ under study was the female's copulatory and egg-laying organ—the vulva.  This is what they discovered.

[E]volutionary changes among these species were unidirectional in nearly all instances.

For example, they concluded that the number of cell divisions needed in vulva development declined over time — instead of randomly increasing and decreasing. In addition, the team noted that the number of rings used to form the vulva consistently declined during the evolutionary process. These results demonstrate that, even where we might expect evolution to be random, it is not.

This sounds like it could have far-reaching consequences, not only for evolutionary biology, but also for understandings of God’s work in creation.

h/t: Faith-Science News

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November 20th, 2007 at 7:55 pm

Does this mean global warming is over?

Here’s a blast from climate change alarmism past:

Concern over Europe 'snow crisis'

Unseasonably warm conditions across Europe are being greeted with a mixture of disbelief and despair by those who normally rely on cold winters.
. . .
Many believe global warming is to blame for the lack of snow.

The Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development warned that many low-level resorts could soon be unviable and predicted warmer temperatures in the future.

That is from a BBC report datelined 17 December 2006.

Compare and contrast with current BBC weather news:

Early snows boost Alpine ski resorts

Dozens of ski resorts across the Alps have begun running their lifts after unprecedented levels of snow this month.

An official from the Austrian Tourist Office says last year’s poor snow season “was just a blip”.  Do tell.

h/t: Andrew Bolt

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