Magic Statistics

“I accept no responsibility for statistics, which are a form of magic beyond my comprehension.” — Robertson Davies

June 6th, 2007 at 10:01 pm

News you can use

Researchers claim to have discovered a reliable way to tell when someone is lying.

Researchers from the University of Portsmouth claim that the best way to spot a lie is to make the suspect repeat his or her version of events in reverse order.

Because lying typically demands more mental effort than telling the truth, the extra stress of repeating a story in reverse chronological order often results in mistakes, nervousness, and other visible clues.

Print This Post Print This Post
June 6th, 2007 at 6:34 pm

Abortion: Risk factor for subsequent premature delivery

British MPs yesterday defeated a private member’s bill that would have required women seeking an abortion to have counselling and be fully informed about possible after-effects.  The bill, presented by Conservative MP Ann Winterton, also proposed a seven-day waiting period after counselling before an abortion could proceed.

“Pity”, writes The Times of London columnist Melanie McDonagh, for elective abortion has been implicated in an increased risk of premature birth.

From the analysis of all published data on the subject, from the mid-1990s to last year, from France to Finland, Australia to Germany, we can say that abortion almost certainly produces a doubling in the premature delivery rate. We don’t know why – maybe bacterial infection from a surgical intervention, maybe because of cervical trauma.

In other words, for a woman who has never had an abortion, the chances of having a baby before 34 weeks are about 3 per cent; in women who have had an abortion in the past, the rate doubles to 6-12 per cent. In Poland, where the abortion laws were radically tightened after Communism – an epidemiologist’s dream of a nationwide experiment in public health – there was a drop in the national rate of premature birth from about 7 per cent to 3 per cent.

Ms McDonagh points out that premature babies are much more likely than full-term babies to suffer physical handicaps, which imposes huge medical expense on society and families.  Another outcome of premature birth is that babies born alive simply do not survive, inflicting devastating emotional grief on parents and relatives.

Abortion is known to heighten the risk of “incompetent cervix”, which is probably one reason for the increase in premature births among women who have had an abortion.  This is even admitted by pro-abortion groupsSee, for example, this, from the website of Planned Parenthood of Australia.

Complications from First - Trimester Termination of Pregnancy
. . .
Incompetent cervix/stenosed cervix (too tight or too loose cervix which may impair future fertility)

“Impair future fertility”—a rather delicate way of saying that a woman who has had an abortion may subsequently give birth so prematurely that her baby is severely handicapped or even dies within a few hours.

Incredibly (to me anyway), British doctors not only opposed Ms Winterton’s bill, they want to minimise opportunities to inform women about abortion.

In a controversial move, the British Medical Association's ethics committee published a briefing paper supporting changes to the Abortion Act to speed up treatment for women who are less than three months pregnant.

They said women should be allowed to refer themselves to abortion clinics, rather than having to go through their GP and getting approval from two doctors.

The committee also said that suitably trained and experienced nurses and midwives should be able to carry out both medical and surgical abortions.

Midwives and nurses should be allowed to perform surgery?

Western governments are increasingly badgering citizens about supposedly unhealthy aspects of everyday life.  Public health campaigns are launched against second-hand smoke, gambling, eating fatty foods, not getting enough exercise, and, of course, unsafe sex.

For some reason, however, abortion has become a politically protected medical procedure.  Pregnant women are to be given as little information as possible about scientifically documented ill effects.  What are doctors and politicians afraid of?  That some women might decide to have their babies?

Previous related posts:

Print This Post Print This Post
|