Magic Statistics

“I accept no responsibility for statistics, which are a form of magic beyond my comprehension.” — Robertson Davies

March 3rd, 2007 at 10:06 pm

Michael Ingham to Episcopal Church: We’re great

Michael 'My Way or The Highway' InghamThe Rt Rev Michael Ingham, Bishop of New Westminster, addressed a meeting of Episcopal Church leaders this afternoon.  His message can be very briefly summarised as follows: “You’re great, we’re great, and I’m the greatest.”

The Episcopal Church is great because it’s got lots of women in leadership.

Thank you your grace. Grace is a name applied usually to females but in our Anglican churches it has only been applied to men until you came along. And that is wonderful.

Applause

I will tell my own synod what a joy it is to be in a church led largely by women.

Maybe that’s his idea of an ice-breaking witticism.

He pats himself on the back for developing “alternative schemes of care” to deal with Anglicans who stubbornly insist on holding fast to the faith once delivered to the saints outmoded sexual ethics.

[W]e have had to develop alternative schemes of care for those who disagree with the positions we have taken on sexuality . . .

We developed a document called: Shared Episcopal Ministry. In this document, we call for the care of all those who feel themselves to be minorities in the national church. The wording speaks of “all” minorities. The wording is important. The Canadian position therefore differs from the primates who have envisioned the care of only “certain” minorities. It seems to us that many will feel disadvantaged and we must care for “all” minorities.

So there are some who are in the minority because of traditional convictions and they must be cared for.

To be honest, I haven’t read that document but, as one who believes that actions speak louder than words, I have to say it doesn’t seem to have done much good.  Quite the opposite, in fact.  Bp Ingham’s scheme of “alternative care” for the “minority” with “traditional convictions” includes surreptitious attempts to change the locks on church doors, installing hand-picked ringers to govern recalcitrant congregations, and pressuring traditional clergy to move on.  Oh, and harassing bishops who venture into his domain diocese to minister to Anglicans who aren’t appropriately thankful for Mike’s “alternative” “care”.

Yes, providing “alternative” “care” to those with “traditional convictions” demands a great deal of the good bishop’s time and cunning ingenuity.

New West’s favoured minorities, on the other hand, get plain ordinary care, not the alternative kind.  But they’re not well served either.

But it is also clear that there are other people, namely sexual minorities, who also need the care and pastoral concern of the church.

Care for sexual minorities looks quite different but, really, is it any better?  Pastoral concern here entails teaching them that indulging illicit sexual desires is just fine with God.

As we formulate our response to the primates, it is important for both of our churches to say to the rest of the Communion that we must be even handed and not selective.

And Mike has been the very epitome of even-handedness and impartiality.

He puffs up the assembled TEC leaders by telling them how close The Episcopal Church and the Anglican Church of Canada are growing through their joint effort to bring into the Anglican Communion alternative care for pesky traditional minorities "the fullness of the gospel".

And then there’s this.

Orthodoxy is a wide river not a narrow stream.  The genius of orthodoxy is that it has provided space and boundaries for many in different positions to come together and that is not just the genius of Anglican orthodoxy, but it is the genius of the entire Christian tradition.

So, who ya gonna believe: Mike or Jesus?

He ends with flattery

I am impressed with your advocacy for the MGDs [sic] and your consistent advocacy for mission and your advocacy of Jesus Christ in your tireless efforts for the unfortunate.

You may not know this about yourself but you are a light to the gentiles.

and, no doubt coincidentally, receives a standing ovation.

Michael Ingham and The Episcopal Church, standing tall together.

h/t: titusonenine

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March 3rd, 2007 at 8:07 pm

Fie on statistics: Canadian Anglicans don’t need ‘em

Anglican Journal's featured letter this month sure got my attention.  Rolf Pedersen of Guelph, Ontario, responds to an article in January's Anglican Journal that I blogged here.  My blog post was entitled "The Anglican Church of Canada needs a statistician", whereas Mr Pedersen's letter carries this inflammatory headline: "Collecting statistics a 'pointless task'".

Just a slight difference in perspective there.  It's a good thing I wasn't drinking coffee when I read that, or I'd have had to make a special trip to the dry cleaners.

Mr Pedersen's letter does not get off to a good start.  The first sentence misrepresents the content of the article he's commenting on.

I find myself strangely heartened by General Synod treasurer Peter Blachford's observation that many dioceses have given up updating membership statistics in favour of more important activities.

Mr Blachford didn't exactly say that.  Here's the relevant bit of the original Anglican Journal report.

Compliance [with requests from the national church for parish statistical information] has been spotty as some financially-troubled dioceses have trimmed staff, said Mr. Blachford. "What you had was that it was one more thing they had to do and as their staff got smaller, this fell by the wayside," he said.

Mr Pedersen assumes that whatever falls by the wayside is less important.  Just because a task can be set aside without immediate adverse consequences, however, does not mean it lacks importance.  Politicians have been ignoring our health care system for decades, and look at the fine shape it's in.

As a Christian and a statistician, I am very aware of the dangers of excessive or inappropriate reliance on statistics.  The public opinion poll, in my view, is one of the banes of modern existence.  Polls have contributed mightily to the myopic dumbing-down of our political life and culture.  Obsession with quantifying every aspect of contemporary life has encouraged a bandwagon view of all social issues.  The rightness (or wrongness) of the cause matters not; what counts (!) is the number of supporters and their willingness to pressure public officials.

So, I have a great deal of natural sympathy for the view that statistics should not be an overriding priority in the life of the Anglican Church of Canada.  But Mr Pedersen goes away beyond that, calling membership statistics "pointless".  Those who care how many members ACC has are

those who would prefer to over-organize our spiritual lives and to entomb our various denominations into manipulable little boxes.

Just a bit over the top.  One can't help thinking that Mr Pedersen is trying to make a virtue out of the ACC's dismal failure to count how many people are warming our pews.  (And, by the way, this is about one denomination—the Anglican Church of Canada.)

Mr Pedersen's letter confuses the issue by ruminating on the question: How does one define "Anglican"?  People who once upon a time attended an Anglican church?  Familiarity with or allegiance to the Thirty-Nine Articles?

That's a red herring.  The required statistics involve conceptually simple counts: members, regular attenders, regular givers.  Oh—and, while we're at it, a count of parish priests would be nice, too.

A church that does not know how many members (or attenders or givers or clergy) it has, compared to how many it had five years ago, etc., is a church that cannot plan for the future, that does not know its areas of strength and weakness, that doesn't even know if it can maintain programs or meet its payroll three months from now.  Partly because of lack of current statistics, that last item is now a very pressing concern for the ACC.

The United Church of Canada has up-to-date statistics.  The Episcopal Church has reliable and timely statistics.  Why can't the ACC collect numbers that other Christian churches take for granted?  This is not rocket science.

h/t for Christian Century link: titusonenine

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