Magic Statistics

“I accept no responsibility for statistics, which are a form of magic beyond my comprehension.” — Robertson Davies

August 9th, 2006 at 10:08 pm

Saving the BC salmon industry by preserving aboriginal culture

I've just read the most amazing article outlining a way to save the BC salmon industry, which for many years has been wracked by conflicts between aboriginal and commercial fishermen over ever-dwindling salmon runs.  Dr D Bruce Johnsen, Professor of Law at George Mason University School of Law, has applied extensive study and research of aboriginal culture as it existed before the arrival of Europeans in suggesting an ingenious application of pre-contact economic principles to the contemporary situation.

Before the Europeans arrived on the west coast of Canada, many aboriginal tribes exercised exclusive control over salmon streams through recognition of property rights.

Because Pacific salmon return to their natal streams to spawn, tribal ownership of streams provided secure ownership of native salmon stocks. Rather than being the fortunate beneficiaries of a naturally rich environment, the coastal tribes actually created an abundance of salmon through centuries of purposeful husbandry and resource management.

This system broke down in the late 19th century when commercial fishermen began catching salmon in the ocean before they could swim upstream.  Salmon stocks have declined steadily since then due to overfishing and other environmental problems.

Because salmon was absolutely central to pre-contact aboriginal society and economy, the tribes developed a system of preserving and protecting salmon stocks.  That system entailed ownership of salmon streams.

[E]ach tribe normally claimed a large territory oriented around one or more rivers small enough to be owned throughout their entire length. The tribe consisted of several shifting subdivisions, sometimes called clans, which in turn were divided into local group houses. . . . Almost uniformly up and down the coast, wealthier title holders were known by a name that translated roughly into “river owner.”
. . .
Tribal organization was also suited to knowledge accumulation. Tribal chiefs held title to streams and other resources on behalf of their tribe. A tribal leader’s reputation was part of his payoff from superior salmon husbandry, and tribal chiefs were known to possess a corpus of “secret” knowledge about how best to use their resources to create wealth.

Potlatching evolved as a way to define and enforce exclusive tribal property rights to salmon streams and stocks. [footnote omitted]

One purpose of the potlatch was settling disputes over ownership of salmon streams.

When tribes experienced disputes over the title or ownership of streams, the rival claimants resolved the dispute with a “rivalry potlatch.” As Drucker outlines it,  “When two chiefs claimed the same place, the first one would give a potlatch, stating his claim; then the second would try to outdo him.” At some point, one of the chiefs either “gave away or destroyed more property than his opponent could possibly equal.” [reference omitted]

Thus was decided ownership of the disputed stream—without resort to threats or warfare.

Dr Johnsen proposes implementing a modern-day analogue to the rivalry potlatch as a means of deciding ownership of salmon habitats and restoring stable and competent management of stocks.  That would be a sealed-bid auction in which the winner’s payment is the amount bid by the loser; and that amount is paid, not to the seller, but to the loser, thus compensating the loser for the value he placed on the asset auctioned.

The Crown would facilitate an auction for the BC salmon industry between two bidders: BC first nations and commercial fishermen.  The winner of the auction would pay the loser the amount of the loser’s bid.  The loser would thus be precisely compensated for the value he assigned to the industry, while the winner would enjoy an exclusive and perpetual claim to income from the BC salmon industry.

That's the concept in a nutshell.  (Bankers, the inevitable lawyers, and other experts would need to be brought in to work out the financial, legal, and logistical details of such an auction.)

Dr Johnsen expects that the tribes would win the auction because their return from moving to a modern approximation of the pre-contact ownership system far exceeds their income from the present government-regulated system.  Moreover, it preserves ancient cultural traditions and rights, and it gives BC first nations a chance to be self-reliant, self-supporting, and prosperous.

Why not?  It cannot possibly be worse than what’s happened to the BC salmon industry in the last hundred years.

The paper linked above is a summary version of a longer article entitled “A Culturally Correct Proposal to Privatize the British Columbia Salmon Fishery”, which can be downloaded as a pdf document through this page.

I also have to mention that Bruce Johnsen and I attended University of Washington together as graduate students in economics during the early 1980s.  I hadn’t heard about him since until I browsed the Property and Environment Research Center (PERC) website earlier today.  Congrats on your success, Bruce.

Those interested in discussions of property issues and environmental problems from a free-market perspective will find lots of good reading at PERC.  Check it out.

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August 9th, 2006 at 8:52 pm

Cuba’s Dr Mengele dies

The man known as Fidel Castor's Josef Mengele has gone to meet his Maker.

Eduardo Bernabé Ordáz Ducungé, who has died aged 84, was director of Havana's notorious psychiatric hospital for more than 40 years.

The post earned him popular acclaim among pro-Castro Cubans for his eccentric approach, but criticism from international human rights groups and vilification from exiles in the United States who said that the hospital was used to torture political dissidents.

Ordáz admitted that critics of the regime were sometimes kept in the sprawling hospital complex, near José Martí International Airport, but insisted that they were "admitted" and treated - electric shocks included - purely as part of necessary and legitimate medical therapy. Many anti-Castro exiles who spent time in the hospital, known to Cubans as the Mazorra after a 19th-century Spanish colonial landowner, begged to differ.

Legitimate patients, including Diego Maradona, were treated at the Mazorro, but Castro’s security agents imprisoned and tortured political dissidents there as well.  In the 1990s, credible allegations of psychiatric abuse drew the attention of international human rights agencies.

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August 9th, 2006 at 8:35 pm

Islamofascist terrorism threatens Britain

UK Home Secretary John ReidUK Home Secretary John Reid warns that a new breed of fascist terrorism represents Britain’s greatest threat since World War II, and the nation isn’t yet ready to deal with it.

In a speech, the embattled Home Secretary said that Al Qaeda and home grown fundamentalists posed a greater danger than the IRA at the height of their bombing campaign, or even the threat of nuclear annihilation in the darkest days of the Cold War.

Mr Reid told his audience at the Demos think tank that Britain now faced a situation of fluid borders and mass migration, which had led to a more diverse and changing population.

He admitted that despite the efforts of police and security services, he could not guarantee another terrror [sic] attack would be prevented and that the risk would only be minimised if all sections of the community joined in a national effort to beat extremism.

Advances in telecommunications and weapons technology have heightened the dangers and made defence more difficult.

"Individuals who can network courtesy of new technology, and access modern chemical, biological and other means of mass destruction, and who have therefore unconstrained capability as well as unconstrained intent, are an enemy we have never had to face before.”

Mr Reid also suggested that civil freedoms may have to be weakened to prevent the new fascists from destroying them altogether.

Also today, the British security service MI5 said that another £16 million of its £200 million budget had been re-allocated to counter-terrorism efforts.  It was also revealed that, during the past six years, MI5 and police forces have thwarted at least 13 international terrorist plots in the UK.

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August 9th, 2006 at 7:41 pm

Stupid criminals running amok

Today was stupid criminal day in the news, apparently.  First up, there’s the street-wise stick-up artist who walked into a bank in Scotland and demanded cash.  When told he wasn’t getting any, he sat down and fell asleep.

At Glasgow Sheriff Court, Derek Burns, 47, admitted a breach of the peace at a branch of Lloyds TSB in Glasgow's south side on 4 November, last year.

He had threatened workers with a can of deodorant in a bag portrayed as a weapon but when cash was refused he fell asleep, prompting staff laughter.

Mr Burns’s lawyer claimed it was all a joke.  Well, ya, but was it intentional?

Three thick but ambitious robbers in Malaysia had as much success as Mr Burns, but at least they got away.  The three broke into a bank after hours and went to a lot of trouble to rip a bank machine out of the wall.  The only hitch was it wasn’t a cash machine.

Three would-be thieves broke into a bank in northern Malaysia but failed to make off with any cash as they yanked out the wrong machine - a cheque deposit machine instead of an automated cash dispenser, the national news agency Bernama reported Wednesday.

The three men broke into the entrance area of the bank in the northern town of Bukit Mertajam early Wednesday, and tied a rope - attached to two vehicles - around a machine, police district investigation chief Chor Ah Sing said, according to Bernama.

They jerked the machine off its hinges, sending it crashing to the ground floor, Chor added.

They had time to open the cashless machine before a security guard arrived on the scene, whereupon they ran off.

Now we go to Spain, where four Frenchmen were arrested after bounding in front of fast-moving cars in order to film the drivers’ panicked reactions for posting on the internet.

The four jokers took turns to leap in front of cars, forcing the drivers to swerve or brake sharply and putting themselves and other vehicles in danger, town hall officials in Alicante were quoted as saying on the El Pais Web site.

It’s not clear whether the next incident involves criminal activity as well as monumental stupidity.  Police are still investigating a possible link to drug gangs.  Regardless, it’s a great story.

A Brazilian man died on Tuesday when he tried to open what police believe was a rocket-propelled grenade with a sledgehammer in a mechanical workshop on the outskirts of Rio de Janeiro.

Another man who was in the workshop at the time of the explosion was rushed to a hospital with severe burns, a police officer told Reuters. The workshop was destroyed and several cars parked outside caught fire.

Give that man a Darwin Award!

h/t for the Brazilian grenade technician: The Waffling Anglican

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August 9th, 2006 at 5:53 pm

Stephen Harper to visit Whitehorse

Whitehorse radio stations are reporting that the prime minister will visit our city next week, but neither the PM’s office nor the Yukon government will confirm the story.  So, who’s the source?  Yukon MP Larry Bagnell, who, not coincidentally, is a Liberal, spilled the beans.  From the 6:30 am CBC Whitehorse news broadcast (transcript not available online):

Yukon MP Larry Bagnell says he’s got a dinner date with the PM.  . . . Bagnell says he’ll be happy to sit down to dinner with Stephen Harper. Bagnell calls the gesture very non partisan. (Bagnell) “I appreciate the invitation. I think it’s very thoughtful of the PM if he’s the one that extended the invitation.” Chatting over the phone Bagnell looks at the details of the event and relays the information. The date, Wednesday, August 16. The time 7:30 p.m. and the location - the High Country Convention Centre.

“Non partisan”?  Right!  Mr Bagnell lost little time telling another Whitehorse radio station, CKRW, which government policies he’s PO'd angry fightin’ mad concerned about.  (Warning: Standard-issue Liberal talking points comin’ up.)

"I think there's to start with three major feelings of people have been - very important to Yukoners that have come to me. One is the canceling - the fact that they've canceled the Kelowna agreement, which was a historic agreement for first nations' people. The second is that they've canceled a number our climate change programs and climate change is dramatically affecting the economy and wildlife of the north more than anywhere else in Canada and cutting those programs is even more critical to us. The third is cutting our national daycare program and you've seen a lot in the media. There's been a lot of people approaching me as well about the difficulties this is causing for them in their local day cares in the Yukon."

Larry Bagnell is a nice guy and by all accounts a hard-working MP, but he’s not the most articulate orator currently sitting in Canada’s House of Commons.

To provide some context for Bagnell’s verbal diarrhea remarks, I should point out that, when it comes to talking to our MP, four or five people qualifies as “a lot of people” in the Yukon.

Anyway, the StatWife, StatDaughter, and I are very disappointed to hear this news—because on Saturday we’re driving south for a summer vacation.  Why couldn’t Stephen arrange to visit this week??

Previous related post: Yukon to be represented by NDP MPs elsewhere in Canada?

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