Magic Statistics

“I accept no responsibility for statistics, which are a form of magic beyond my comprehension.” — Robertson Davies

July 17th, 2006 at 7:31 pm

Myth: More foreign aid leads to less poverty

Jonathan Clayton, Africa correspondent for The Times of London, observes that, one year after Live 8, Africa has just as many poor people, and just as many rich.  The latter seem disproportionately represented among Africa's parliamentarians and development-agency bureaucrats.

This lot, helped by their friends in the NGO world, will be bemoaning the West's lack of commitment to its G-8 pledges this week and asking for much, much more aid. Then, they can follow the example of Kenya's MPs - some of the best paid on the continent - and vote themselves increases in salary and travel allowances.

A year ago, Mr Clayton was hopeful that Live 8 and Make Poverty History could effect real improvement in the living conditions of ordinary Africans.  Now, however, he is more skeptical than ever.

As ever the voices of real people living on this continent were largely absent and therefore the two huge falsehoods on which the G-8 were premised went largely unchallenged. These were: more aid leads to more development and therefore less poverty and, two, there is a new breed of African leader around more interested in his people's welfare, than his own. The first is a myth, propagated by the whole aid business, the second is a simple untruth, spread because the alternative is diplomatically too unpalatable …

Andrew Mwenda, Ugandan journalist, is also very skeptical.  Indeed, he has been in London arguing against foreign aid.  Far from helping Africans, he maintains, it makes their situation worse.  Aid is not the solution; to the contrary, by creating perverse incentives, encouraging corruption, and impeding development, it is in truth the problem.

Mr Mwenda is widely known in Africa; less so in the West — and for a reason. He accuses charities and aid agencies of self-interest, of seeking to feather their nests and expand their market share, and he talks about the big issue that is never mentioned: race.

“White society is being blackmailed. The white world looks at Africa from a position of guilt,” he told a seminar at IPN, the London think tank. The beneficiaries of aid are governments, politicians, the staff of aid agencies and charities, he says. Head in hands in mock despair, he reels off a list of “charities” that sprang into being when the Global Fund to Fight Aids, Tuberculosis and Malaria began to disburse its millions. “There was Children of Hope, there was Hope for Children, there was Help the Children.”

Vast sums vanished into the pockets of politicians and corrupt government officials. Money from Western taxpayers, corporations and individual donations raised with rock star endorsement was siphoned into private bank accounts. The scandal eventually forced the Global Fund to suspend its $200 million (£110 million) grant to Uganda.

“The sick and dying in hospitals never saw the money,” he says.

What Africans need, says Mr Mwenda, is not handouts from white foreigners, but changes at home: better governmental institutions and tools to develop their economies themselves.

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July 17th, 2006 at 6:58 pm

Dutch pedophiles party

Dutch pedophiles are indeed partying as a bid to outlaw their new political party has been tossed out by the courts.

A Dutch court has turned down a request to ban a political party with a paedophile agenda.

Judge HFM Hofhuis ruled that the Brotherly Love, Freedom and Diversity Party (PNVD) had the same right to exist as any other political party.

The PNVD was formed by three paedophiles in May, prompting outrage in Dutch society.

It seeks to lower the age of sexual consent from 16 to 12 and legalise child pornography and sex with animals.

The judge said that liberal freedoms of association and expression entail the freedom to form a new political party.  Calling for a change in the law, as outrageous as the proposed change may be, is not in itself illegal.

The party needs some candidates and signatures of only 30 supporters to get on the ballot, so this assessment seems overly optimistic to me:

Ireen van Engelen of the Solace Foundation, which researches pedophilia, said the party likely would fail to register for the elections because pedophiles seek anonymity.
 
"They will never want to connect their name to the party and without the signatures they can't go in the elections," she said.

I hope she's right, but I wouldn't bet the family fortune on it.

Both links via The Pearcey Report.

Previous related post: Pedophile political party launched in Netherlands.

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July 17th, 2006 at 6:23 pm

Rural Canadians more likely to engage in volunteer activity

When it comes to getting involved in volunteer and other civic activities, individuals with a university degree are more likely to do so than are those with just a high-school diploma, while urban dwellers are less likely to do so than are rural residents.  Given that urban residents are, on average, more highly educated than rural residents, the question becomes: Which factor—place of residence or educational attainment—is more strongly associated with civic engagement?

A new Statistics Canada of "social capital" has found that, for Canadians in 2003, place of residence predominated over level of education.  Among Canadians with comparable levels of education, those living in rural areas were significantly more likely to volunteer or participate in other social activity.

The study probed an apparent contradiction. Educational attainment is relatively lower in rural areas and lower education levels are almost always associated with significantly lower levels of civic engagement. Despite this, rural areas do not experience lower levels of civic engagement than urban areas.

The study revealed two different dynamics. Individuals with a university degree were more likely to be engaged civically if they lived in rural areas. While there are proportionally fewer university degree holders in rural Canada, they contribute more than would be expected from them if they followed the behaviour patterns of the "average" university degree holder.

However, it also appears that individuals with less than a university degree (but with at least a high school diploma) are in some ways picking up the slack. Individuals who had a high school diploma and a college certificate/diploma were more likely to be engaged civically if they lived in rural areas.

The study centred on quantifying the concept of social capital, understood in broad terms as participation in voluntary associations and other social networks.  Four types of social activity were surveyed: unpaid volunteer work, membership in voluntary civic organisations, non-voting political activity, and attendance at public meetings.

Although proportionately fewer persons with university degrees live in rural areas, those who do are more involved in volunteer and other civic activities than are city dwellers with the same level of education.  Moreover, rural residents with less than a university degree (but at least a high school diploma) were also more likely than comparably educated city residents to be so engaged.  Among those who did not graduate high school, no significant differences were seen between city and rural dwellers, with the exception of attending public meetings, which rural dwellers were more likely to do.

The full 18-page report can be downloaded here (pdf).

Sources:

Rothwell, Neil, & Martin Turcotte, 2006. "The Influence of Education on Civic Engagement: Differences Across Canada’s Rural-Urban Spectrum". Rural and Small Town Canada Analysis Bulletin, Vol. 7, No. 1 (July 2006).  Statistics Canada catalogue no. 21-006-XIE.
http://www.statcan.ca/english/freepub/21-006-XIE/21-006-XIE2006001.pdf (accessed 17 July 2006).

Statistics Canada, 2006. "Study: Impact of education on civic engagement in rural and urban Canada." The Daily, 17 July. Statistics Canada catalogue no. 11-001-XIE.
http://www.statcan.ca/Daily/English/060717/d060717c.htm (accessed 17 July 2006).

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July 17th, 2006 at 4:55 pm

Islamist teacher living in Canada illegally

Pakistani scholar Farhat Hashmi entered Canada in October 2004 on a visitor's visa, has twice been denied permission to work, and was ordered to leave the country in September 2005.  Yet she is still here.  In the meantime, she has founded al-Huda Islamic Centre of Canada, a girls' school in Mississauga where she teaches a strict Islamist interpretation of the Koran.

Moderate Muslims believe her lessons encourage extremist views among her students in Mississauga — the same Toronto suburb where many of the 17 men arrested last month on terrorism-related charges grew up and allegedly developed into radicals. Some of those young men's militant views are reputed to have been influenced by their ideologically inclined wives.

A charismatic figure who cloaks her face and body in orthodox garb, Hashmi amassed considerable wealth in the 1990s by establishing a chain of religious schools across Pakistan. Focusing her instruction on young Westernized women from monied families who had hitherto preferred a pair of jeans to the hijab, Hashmi became famous converting them to a stricter form of Islam. Stories abound of young Muslim party girls changing their ways after just a few lectures, donning the black veils that Hashmi is said to make available for purchase at her schools, along with her lectures in print, audio and DVD formats. "Her network of schools in Pakistan caters exclusively to the upper class," says Tarek Fatah, of the Muslim Canadian Congress. "And that is where she is turning women into mothers who are then converting their sons into extremists."

Ms Hashmi encourages her girls to allow their husbands to marry more than once.  She has also taught that an earthquake in Kashmir was divine punishment for "immoral activities".  Hmmmm.  Islamists seem to have a penchant for attributing natural disasters to God's vengeance against certain degenerates and reprobates.

The basis of Ms Hashmi's work permit application was an offer of employment from the Islamic Society of North America (ISNA), which still wants her to stay to teach Muslim girls.

Mohammad Ashraf, secretary general of ISNA Canada and the man who signed Hashmi's letter of employment, defended her. "We need people like her — men and women who really teach what the Koran says," he told Maclean's. "These people who are criticizing her, they are just going around the bush because they don't practise Islam themselves."

Wajid Khan, Liberal MP for Mississauga-Streetsville, wants her gone pronto.  He doesn’t understand why the immigration bureaucracy hasn't acted on the eviction letter delivered nine months ago.  He's not the only one.

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