Magic Statistics

“I accept no responsibility for statistics, which are a form of magic beyond my comprehension.” — Robertson Davies

June 25th, 2006 at 9:57 pm

Caucasians and other minorities attacked in Moscow

("Caucasians" refers not to the racial group but to those whose ethnic roots lie in the Caucasus: Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia.)

Last month, an 18-year-old Armenian migrant worker named Artur Sardarian was stabbed to death by several young men on a commuter train near Moscow in an attack evidently motivated by hatred of his ethnic origin.  A tragic irony is that he was killed on the opening day of Russia's "Armenia Year".

In the Caucasus, there was shock at a murder whose motive was so patently the ethnic origin of the victim. Nor was Sardarian the first foreigner murdered in Russia since the beginning of the year – a Senegalese student and another Armenian were killed in April.

The sense that xenophobic violence is on the rise is supported by data from Sova, a British non-governmental group that monitors racist attacks in Russia, which indicated that 18 people have been killed and more than 100 injured in hate crimes so far in 2006.
. . .
Although there are no precise data, non-government groups estimate that there are around three million Armenians living in Russia, the same number of Azerbaijanis and over a million Georgians.

A Russian foundation called Public Opinion had done a survey which shows that about half of all Muscovites polled tends to dislike people from the Caucasus. Interestingly, those surveyed also said they thought other Russians in the capital held even less tolerant views.

These and similar attacks have been perpetrated by various gangs of skinhead thugs dressed in black who consider non-Russians enemies of the nation.

Both Russian President Vladmir Putin and Moscow Mayor Yuri Luzhkov have condemned attacks on ethnic minorities.  At the same time, extremist xenophobic nationalism is actively encouraged by fringe political parties, some of which are alleged to have connections with skinhead gangs.

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June 25th, 2006 at 7:55 pm

Blunder or politically incorrect truth?

The Irish opposition Labour Party hits the roof after a high-ranking Justice Department official says that the “vast majority of asylum seekers” are “lying” about their circumstances.

Given that over 88% of applications for asylum in Ireland since 1992 have been rejected, the official seems to have a point.

via Colby Cosh.

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June 25th, 2006 at 5:37 pm

Real cause of African poverty: lack of government accountability

Live 8 was held one year ago.  Sir Bob Geldof, Bono, and their crew of aging hippy-rockers played the old songs one more time, raised money for aid, pressured the G8 nations meeting at Gleneagles, Scotland, to promise more help for Africa; and everyone felt good about the whole thing.  “Make Poverty History”, they all said; and many seemed to believe it was really about to happen.

A year on, however, many Africans maintain that Live 8 has had little, if any, effect.  Indeed, some are speaking out strongly against foreign aid as an impediment to dealing with the real underlying issues.

One bright spot on the African horizon is the growing realisation that the continent's problems are of its own making and that only Africans can solve them.

In a blistering attack on the thinking behind Live 8, Moeletsi Mbeki, the deputy chairman of South Africa's Institute of African Affairs and the brother of the South African president, warned Geldof of "a real danger that far from combating poverty in Africa you are making things worse".

He said: "You do not understand the core problem. If you want to end poverty in Africa, you must treat the disease, not the symptoms. That disease is the shocking lack of accountability afforded toward the African people by those who rule them. The truth of Western aid is that for every pound, dollar and euro that finds its way to the needy, another is propping up corrupt governments such as Robert Mugabe's in Zimbabwe."

Mr Mbeki's is far from a lone voice.

The idea that aid does not help, and may even make conditions worse, is spreading.  Greg Mills, director of a South African economic think tank, acknowledges that Live 8 heightened Western awareness of the situation of Africa, then goes on to say:

“There is a new generation of Africans who are uncomfortable with foreign aid. They see that it undermines self-respect, saps initiative, encourages dependency, and creates many of the problems that it is supposed to alleviate."

Another Africa expert downplays the value of foreign aid as a distraction from policies designed to encourage economic production and trade with developed nations.

"I don't think that Live 8 itself changed anything," says Tom Cargill, the Africa programme manager of the Royal Institute of International Affairs. "First there is the question of whether the money will actually appear, and, if it does, the bigger question is over what good it will do.

Aid is not a solution. It works, to a very limited degree, as an emergency support system, but even in doing that it creates other problems. The important part of the Gleneagles deal was the agreement to change trade regulations, and absolutely nothing has happened on that."

The most important positive economic development in Africa during the past year had nothing to do with Live 8 or Gleneagles.  Nigeria earned its first international credit rating, largely due to the government’s determined effort to fight mismanagement and corruption.

Two articles available online at New Statesman suggest that, in words from the title of one, Africa may be “better off without us”.  Writer Robert Calderisi argues that Western policy should be directed away from foreign aid and toward a new approach to improving the lives of ordinary Africans.

A year on from the Live 8 concerts, energies should be aimed at other causes - for instance, barring western arms sales to unrepresentative governments, quarantining any state that imprisons journalists for expressing personal opinions, abolishing laws that make it a crime to criticise African presidents, focusing aid on the few countries that have used it properly, or seizing illicit African holdings in western banks, the way the British navy intercepted slaving ships on the high seas once the abominable trade in human beings was outlawed. Few African leaders would understand that parallel, but most of their citizens would.

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June 25th, 2006 at 4:14 pm

Nunavut facing crisis in Inuit education and employment

Nunavut was created Canada’s third northern territory over seven years ago, but many of its Inuit residents have seen little improvement in their lives.  A recent investigation by former BC Supreme Court Justice Thomas Berger says Nunavut’s public education system is failing young Inuit people.  Over three-quarters of Nunavut students never graduate high school.

Ottawa has set up a working group to examine recommendations put forward by Thomas Berger on the need to improve Nunavut's education system.

Berger, who was appointed to help resolve outstanding land claim implementation issues in Nunavut, concluded better education would increase graduation rates and Inuit employment with the territorial government.
. . .
Berger recommends students be taught in both Inuktitut and English from kindergarten to Grade 12 to help keep them in school.

Under Article 23 of the land claims deal that gave birth to Nunavut, Inuit are supposed to hold 85 percent of jobs in the territorial government.  Because of poor education, however, Inuit occupy only 45 percent of public service jobs, a disproportionate number of which are at lower levels.

Berger says the crisis lies in the fact that the supply of qualified Inuit is exhausted, with only one-quarter of Inuit children graduating from high school.  He says the schools are failing, not producing Inuit graduates competent in Inuktitut or English.

Government has ended up "poaching" Inuktitut-speaking employees from one department to another, failing to meet its objectives overall.

Nunavut’s population is 85% Inuit, but the territory is effectively governed by white people, most of whom were brought in from southern Canada to manage the public service.  The government has also pursued a policy of de-centralisation, moving government offices and departments out of the territorial capital of Iqaluit to many, even more remote Nunavut communities.  This has tremendously increased the cost of governing and reduced operational efficiency.  (More on that in a moment.)

The condition of Nunavut on its seventh anniversary was reported in The New York Times a few days ago.

The initiative to grant Nunavut, a land of frozen fjords, desolate tundra and roaming herds of caribou, self-rule seven years ago was heralded worldwide as an enlightened attempt to right past wrongs against a suffering aboriginal people.

But two recent federal government reports tell a disheartening story of frustrated hopes and local failures that do not bode well for Nunavut's exceptionally young population (38 percent of its people are under 14), one still plagued by widespread drug abuse, alcoholism, suicide and family abuse.

The first report is Thomas Berger’s report on land claims and education.  The second is that of Canada’s Auditor General Sheila Fraser, who detailed $1 billion of public money lost through mismanagement, waste, and fraud.

She noted that the territorial government's efforts to decentralize operations to spread public jobs beyond the capital, Iqaluit, had spread accounting talent too thinly. She recommended "recentralizing" government accounting operations so senior staff members could more closely supervise less experienced public workers.

That recommendation could be applied to many other government functions as well.

Nunavut map

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June 25th, 2006 at 6:00 am

The Second Sunday After Trinity

The collect for today, the 2nd Sunday after Trinity, from the 1662 Book of Common Prayer:

O Lord, who never failest to help and govern them whom thou dost bring up in thy stedfast fear and love; Keep us, we beseech thee, under the protection of thy good providence, and make us to have a perpetual fear and love of thy holy Name; through Jesus Christ our Lord. Amen.

The Epistle: 1 St John 3:13-24
The Gospel: St Luke 14:16-24

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