Magic Statistics

“I accept no responsibility for statistics, which are a form of magic beyond my comprehension.” — Robertson Davies

June 18th, 2006 at 6:49 pm

Environmental indulgences

Losing sleep over your nefarious contribution to sin global warming?  Worried about your car's iniquities carbon dioxide emissions?  Buy relief from your guilt.  Rich polluters can squander donate some cash to pay for a reduction of atmospheric toxins by someone else somewhere else—or at least that's what they'll tell ya.

  1. Each year, the average car emits about 10,000 lbs (three times its weight!) in carbon dioxide pollution – a leading cause of global warming.
  2. You buy a TerraPass.
  3. TerraPass funds clean energy projects that reduce industrial carbon dioxide emissions.
  4. Your TerraPass is third-party certified to reduce the equivalent of your car’s carbon dioxide pollution.

Along with your TerraPass, you will receive a window decal and a bumper sticker.  To assuage your conscience even more, you can buy t-shirts, coffee mugs, and licence plate holders.

Do what Al Gore does: Don't reduce your own emissions, pay for someone else to reduce theirs.

[Mr Gore] said he was "carbon neutral" himself and he tried to offset any plane flight or car journey by "purchasing verifiable reductions in CO2 elsewhere".

So, now the religion of global warming has indulgences that are said to ensure environmental righteousness.  Can fatwas against kafirs be far behind?

via Acton Institute PowerBlog.

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June 18th, 2006 at 4:13 pm

Does marriage matter for the nurturing of children?

Studies of family structure have typically found that children raised in nuclear families—headed by the biological parents, a husband and wife who are married to each other—fare better in life than children raised in other types of families.  Children raised by both biological parents get on better across virtually the whole range of outcome measures.

This is a generally accepted finding.  The controversial issue has been whether the good outcomes are attributable to marriage itself or to other attendant circumstances.  Compared to single-parent families, nuclear families tend to have greater wealth, more stability of residence, and better social support.  Children in stepfamilies have usually experienced divorce and weakened relationship with a biological parent that nuclear-family children have not.  For these and other reasons, some commentators maintain that the real reason why children from non-nuclear families do worse is not marriage per se, but rather such factors as poverty, conflict, abandonment, and neglect.

Increasingly in recent years, children are being also being raised in cohabiting families—families in which a biological parent is living with, but not married to, a partner who is not a biological parent.  This has permitted more recent studies to focus on the effect of marriage itself.  By comparing the situations of children raised in cohabiting families with children raised in stepfamilies (headed by married couples, one of whom is not the biological parent), it is theoretically possible to attribute differences to marriage itself, after adjusting for other socio-demographic factors, such as parental age, education, income, etc.

A review article by Robin Fretwell Wilson of the University of Maryland School of Law looks at two 2003 studies that compared just such families.  The abstract of her article is posted here, and the full pdf text here.

The first study, by Wendy D. Manning and Kathleen A. Lamb, compared children living in married stepfamilies with children living in cohabiting families made up of the mother and her partner to whom she is not married.

The results are telling.  The study demonstrated a statistically significant difference in delinquency between children living with married parents, one of whom was a biological parent, and unmarried parents, one of whom was a biological parent. Teens in married stepfamilies were significantly less likely to be delinquent than teens living in unmarried, cohabiting households . . . Even after taking into account the parent's relationship with the child, family stability, and socioeconomic characteristics, this "marriage advantage"" continued to be significant . . . Importantly, this difference is similar in degree to differences the researchers also found between stepchildren and children in nuclear families.  [footnotes omitted]

Differences in delinquency by parental marital status persisted for children even after adjusting for socio-economic and other relevant factors.  Manning and Lamb concluded that remaining differences were attributable to marriage itself.

The second study, by Sandra L. Hofferth and Kermyt G. Anderson, took a different approach to the situation of children in different types of families.  They gathered data on fathers’ investment in the lives of their children.

Hofferth and Anderson compared investments by residential fathers in children in four different types of families: the nuclear family (married, biological parents), the cohabiting family (unmarried, biological parents), the stepfamily (married parents, one of whom is a nonbiological parent), and unmarried parents, one of whom is a nonbiological parent (mother cohabits with live-in partner).  Data came from 2531 children and their parents and examined father's weekly hours engaged with the child; weekly hours available to the child when the father was around but not actively participating in activities with the child; fathering motivation; number of activities the father participated in with the child in the past month; and "warmth" toward the child, as reported by fathers themselves. [footnotes omitted]

The researchers found that unmarried biological fathers invest less intensively in their children than do married biological fathers.

Unmarried biological fathers spent about four hours less a week on average with their biological children than married biological fathers, after controlling for race, father's age, child's gender and age, number of children, percentage of months lived with the father, father's work hours per week and earnings, and whether the father paid child support for children outside the house.  In fact, the data for unmarried cohabiting fathers looked more like stepfathers and mothers' partners than married biological fathers. [footnote omitted]

No significant differences were found with respect to hours available and number of activities per week, but for self-rated warmth, it was again found that unmarried biological fathers resembled stepfathers more closely than they did than married biological fathers.

The central insight Hofferth and Anderson derive from their research is this:

[M]arriage per se confers advantage in terms of father involvement above and beyond the characteristics of the fathers themselves, whereas biology does not. [footnote omitted]

These differences persist even after taking socio-economic status into account.  Given that children from less advantageous socio-economic backgrounds are more likely to be raised in cohabiting family settings, the effects of multiple disadvantages are often compounded.

Prof Wilson goes on to discuss possible explanations as to why marriage makes for better parents and so improves the lives of children.

Read the whole thing.

via MarriageDebate.com

Previous related post: The real marriage-and-social-justice issue

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June 18th, 2006 at 2:06 pm

Muslim kicked out of Calgary mosque for defending Canada

At a recent funeral at Calgary's largest mosque, this prayer was uttered, “Oh, God, protect us from the infidels, who pollute us with their vile ways," whereupon a Muslim in attendance stopped the prayer, objecting to the attack on his country and pointing out that Canadian “infidels” had supported the praying man on welfare for most of the past thirty years.  One of the two men is no longer permitted to attend the mosque.  Guess which one.

No surprise there: The one who defended Canada, Dr Mahfooz Kanwar.

Kanwar chuckles at the memory.

"Then I said to this semi-literate man, 'you should thank me and those you call infidels.'

"He asked me why and I said: 'Because the taxes I pay are putting food on your table as are the taxes of the so-called "infidels.' "

Most Canadians and many Muslims would applaud Dr. Kanwar's righteous outburst. But guess which of the two men is no longer welcome at the Sarcee Tr. S.W. mosque?

Not the intolerant, hate-spewing semi-literate. No, it's Dr. Kanwar who's persona non grata.

That, says Kanwar, is just one of numerous instances he has experienced as a result of the culture of ignorance and intolerance that permeates so many mosques in Canada and throughout the world.

The oldest of the 17 accused terrorists arrested two weeks ago regularly preached jihad at a Toronto-area mosque and no one in leadership asked him to stop.  Six of his young followers are among those charged with plotting terrorist attacks on Canada’s government and other public institutions.  But even if someone had objected, it seems likely, based on Dr Kanwar’s experience, that the one who objected would have been rebuffed, if not ejected.

Because of Dr Kanwar’s outspoken anti-multicultural views, fatwas have been issued against him and he says he has been barred from all Calgary mosques.  Yet he continues to stand up for Canada and for democracy.

"This country," added Kanwar, "is a democracy and democracy is founded on Christian principles.

"Canada is — like it or not, take it or leave it — a country founded on Christian principles where the vast majority of citizens are Christians," said Kanwar.

"Yes, there's separation of church and state but even that was a principle founded by Christians and Christianity.”

There’s a clue as to why many Muslims don’t accept our secular democractic government.

Previous related post: Multiculturalism threatens Canada

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June 18th, 2006 at 6:00 am

The First Sunday After Trinity

The collect for today, the 1st Sunday after Trinity, from the 1662 Book of Common Prayer:

O God, the strength of all them that put their trust in thee, mercifully accept our prayers; and because through the weakness of our mortal nature we can do no good thing without thee, grant us the help of thy grace, that in keeping of thy commandments we may please thee, both in will and deed; through Jesus Christ our Lord. Amen.

The Epistle: 1 St John 4:7-21
The Gospel: St Luke 16:19-31

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