Magic Statistics

“I accept no responsibility for statistics, which are a form of magic beyond my comprehension.” — Robertson Davies

April 5th, 2006 at 10:25 pm

Will the West continue to support Afghanistan?

In his first public comment since Abdul Rahman was freed and allowed to flee to safety in Italy, Afghan President Hamid Karzai says that his country's judiciary made the right decision when Mr Rahman was ordered released.  Not all of his countrymen agree, however.

[H]is release — for which no legal justification was provided at the time — angered many conservative Afghans, who had demanded he be punished under Islamic law. Some clerics accused the government of caving in to Western pressure.

"We are very happy that our court, thank God, was not influenced by sentiments, nor was its ruling based on sentiments," Karzai told judges and clerics during a speech at a religious gathering in Kabul.

The chief justice seems to disagree with that assessment.

Chief Justice Fazl Hadi Shinwari did not refer to the convert case, but he told the gathering Islamic laws were being ignored in Afghanistan and some government officials were not upholding Islamic values.

A commentator writing in The Michigan Review thinks the whole episode raises deeply disturbing questions for Western policy in Afghanistan and, by implication, throughout the Muslim world.  On the positive side, it was good to see Canada, the United States, and much of Europe speak loudly and with one voice in support of Abdul Rahman's religious freedom.  But, on the down side, it is disheartening to realise that, despite the West's expending millions of dollars and vast military resources to build democracy in Afghanistan, the vast majority of Afghans refuse to accept the rights and freedoms that accompany liberal democracy.

[E]ven the court’s decision was not enough to guarantee safety from an Afghan lynch mob. On March 26, Prime Minister Berlusconi of Italy announced that Rahman would be accepted into Italy for protection. Again, it is comforting to see European countries, who typically kowtow to the fundamentalist Muslim crowd (see France), stand up for a courageous man of faith.

It does make you wonder, however, just how often will the West have to rescue the Arab world from itself. The entire West is eager to see the region move into the 21st century. . . . Every time an Abdul Rahman is persecuted for his faith, however, the American resolve erodes a little bit more, the desire to cut and run is intensified. How this will end, no one can hope to guess. But it is without a doubt that public support of our strategy in the Arab world will fade quickly if Afghanistan, our “shining success,” refuses to support minority rights. I hoped to end this article with a solution to the problems revealed in the Abdul Rahman case, but I’m not sure if there is one.

President Bush has made many stirring statements on the transforming power of freedom.  In his second inaugural address, for example, the president said, “There is only one force of history that can break the reign of hatred and resentment . . . that is the force of human freedom.”  At the time, I thought that sounded great; now I'm not so sure. It’s true that much good has been done in Afghanistan: life for the average Afghan is better today than it was under the Taliban. Still, high-sounding sentiments about the freedom’s power to smash hatred seem naïve in light of the Rahman affair.

It is also increasingly evident that most Muslims, even those who say they are opposed to terrorism, view non-Muslims as second-class citizens who should acquiesce to Islamic doctrine and law–by force, if necessary.  It's called dhimmitude.

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April 5th, 2006 at 6:23 pm
April 5th, 2006 at 5:31 pm

Teach Christianity’s intellectual relevance

Oxford theologian Alister McGrath encourages Christian educational institutions to recognise two inter-related goals: academic instruction and spiritual edification.  Students need to learn that Christianity is intellectually relevant to their life and work.  Terry Mattingly reports on Dr McGrath's speech last week at a conference organised by the Council for Christian Colleges and Universities.

[P]rofessors must accept that Christianity has, over the centuries, built up an unavoidable tradition of history, art, philosophy, ethics and theology that has implications all of life. Thus, McGrath stressed that education affects both the head and the heart and that it is unwise to create two zones on campus — one spiritual and one academic.

In other words, the Christian faith has intellectual content that cannot be locked inside the chapel.

"We need a generation of economists, of lawyers, of politicians who intentionally set out to connect their faith and what they will be doing in the world, not doing it by accident or an afterthought, but rather seeing this as a God-given calling," said McGrath. Professors want their students to ask, "If I were to enter politics, how could my values and beliefs be reflected in what I say and do? And likewise with chemistry, biology, psychology, you name it."

Dr McGrath, one of the foremost Christian thinkers and writers of our time, abandoned his youthful Marxist atheism in favour of Christianity while studying at the University of Oxford and subsequently earned two doctoral degrees: in molecular biology and in theology.

via Virtue Online.

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April 5th, 2006 at 5:01 pm

What does society lose when women choose work over family?

A British academic has caused a fierce controversy by pointing out that society has paid a price as more and more women have chosen work over family.  Those losses need to be recognised and addressed.  Alison Wolf, Sir Roy Griffiths Professor in Public Sector Management, King's College, University of London, admits the benefits generated by mass entry of women into the paid labour force.  But it's not all to the good.

Three consequences get far less attention than they deserve: the death of sisterhood, or an end to the millennia during which women of all classes shared the same major life experiences to a far greater degree than did their men. the erosion of "female altruism," the service ethos that has been profoundly important to modern industrial societies, particularly in the education of their young and the care of their old and sick. the impact of employment change on childbearing. We are familiar with the prospect of demographic decline, yet we ignore — sometimes wilfully — the extent to which educated women face disincentives to bear children.
. . .
The revolution in female opportunity has also had a huge effect on the public services and voluntary work. It has reinforced other changes in our society — the decline in religion, the glorifying of self-actualization — to transform our behaviour and values. Welcome to the end of "female altruism."

The loss of a service ethic, it seems to me, is evident in many areas of our public life—and not just among women.  For instance, the lack of interest in nursing as a vocation.  (Full disclosure: The StatWife is an RN.)  The nursing profession is undervalued today, and that is one reason too few are choosing it as an educational and career option.

Nursing is a high-stress occupation, and the stress is increasing as more and more nurses retire and there are fewer new graduates to replace them.  What are all those baby boomers going to do when they reach the age when close personal attention is needed because they can't take care of themselves anymore?  Sooner or later, this will affect nearly everyone who survives to old age, as more and more are doing nowadays.  Hospitals and extended care facilities can be difficult environments to work in.  The future will bring more who need to live there and far fewer who wish to work there.  It may not be a pretty picture.

In her far-reaching essay, Prof Wolf connects the transformation in career aspirations and experience with changes in demography, volunteerism, religion, public and private morality, and, indeed, worldview.

There is a chasm between the moral purpose voiced by female pioneers and the iconic female advertising slogan of today — "Because I'm worth it." We could, I suppose, write off the beliefs of the former group as the opium of the educated female classes, developed to reconcile them to unequal lives. But then we should see our own obsession with female occupational success as an ideology too.
. . .
One could interpret today's feminist assumptions as reflecting the appetite of global capitalism for all talent, female and male, at the expense of the family. Certainly our current economic arrangements offer precious little support to family formation. On the contrary, they erect major barriers in its way.

I urge all interested in these issues to read the whole thing.

via Arts & Letters Daily.

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